How Will The 2024 Election Play Out? - Nate Silver - #846
October 3, 2024
1 hr 10 min
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844 of 1,112
Episode 846 · October 3, 2024
How Will The 2024 Election Play Out? - Nate Silver - #846
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How Will The 2024 Election Play Out? - Nate Silver - #846
Summary
Nate Silver is a statistician, writer of Silver Bulletin, and Founder of FiveThirtyEight.
No one truly knows who will win an election, but if anyone does, it's Nate. He is the man behind the most accurate, sophisticated polling data assessments in America and has an insight into modern culture like no one else.
Expect to learn why this election cycle differs from other ones, just how complex election prediction models are, what the most important topics of this election are, whether there is ever a chance for a 3rd party option to become president, the role of the media in determining who wins and much more…
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Timestamps:
(00:00) How Nate Mastered Sports Betting
(04:01) Models Used to Predict Elections
(08:03) The Way People Vote Today
(11:02) Why Kamala Harris Isn’t Appearing on Podcasts
(14:54) Do Debates Change People’s Minds?
(17:22) The Impact of Running Mates
(23:53) Have the Assassination Attempts Impacted the Election?
(30:16) The States That Decide the Election
(32:50) Likelihood of a Third-Party Candidate Being Elected
(37:39) The Power of ‘the Village & the River’
(44:48) Nate’s Experiences With Sam Bankman-Fried
(49:24) Why Crypto Investors Are More Likely to Be Scammed
(56:29) Psychology of High Risk-Takers
(01:01:54) The Price You Pay to Be Nate Silver
(01:04:30) Nate’s Core Values
(01:10:13) Where to Find Nate
Extra Stuff:
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Nate's Newsletter - Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/
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