May 13, 2026
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Russia's military commanders have reportedly told Putin they can deliver the entire Donbass by autumn 2026, and Alexander Mercouris of The Duran argues this is not an end point but a starting gun, after which Putin is expected to issue sweeping new demands, with Kiev and Odessa firmly in his sights. In this in-depth analysis, Mercouris dissects the Financial Times report on the collapse of US-brokered peace talks, explaining why both Russia and Ukraine have lost all faith in American diplomacy, and what the granular front-line reality around Konstantynivka, Zaporizhzhia, and Sumy actually shows despite Western media claims of a stalled Russian offensive. Meanwhile, a Reuters report confirms that China has maintained tight restrictions on rare earth exports since April 2025, a quiet economic lever that is already driving up costs for US weapons manufacturers by 150% and may be tightening further if Trump escalates against Iran. Trump's Beijing summit, arriving alongside Nvidia, Apple, and BlackRock executives, looks far more like a commercial delegation than a geopolitical reset, and Mercouris questions whether Washington has any real strategy for what comes next. With peace talks effectively dead, a Donbass collapse approaching, and China holding the rare earth card over American defense production, is the United States sleepwalking into the most dangerous phase of this conflict yet?
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