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Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028
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June 29, 2026
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1:00:42Now Playing(0:00) Nate Silver joins the pod!
(10:02) California's ballot counting problem: Raman's late-mail surge, ballot harvesting claims, and why the US counts slower than India
(25:18) Democrats' three-way civil war: The left, the abundance libs, and Newsom's "resistance lib" base
(34:48) The winning 2028 playbook: Anti-oligarch messaging, why young men want control, and immigrants fleeing the Dems
(45:48) How algorithmic social media entrenches polarization: Elon's X, filter bubbles, and the death of the chronological feed
(50:01) 2026 midterm predictions: 85-90% Dem House takeover, Senate toss-up, and the Iran/gas price wildcard
(55:20) Newsom is collapsing in polls: Nate's 2028 Dem bet is AOC
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