December 10, 2019
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1:28Now PlayingPresident Donald Trump has openly cheered for the impeachment process to move to the friendlier confines of the GOP-led Senate, but there may be some surprises in store for him on the way to a likely acquittal.
Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has said it’s “inconceivable” at this point that the Senate will convict Trump on any articles of impeachment sent over from the House. It would take at least 20 Republican votes -- along with all Democrats -- to form the two-thirds majority required to remove Trump, and at present, there are exactly zero.
McConnell and Trump, though, do have a different math problem. Call it the Rule of Four: it would take only four Republican defections to give Democrats an advantage in setting the rules for who testifies, how long the process goes on and other procedural steps that will set the tone and tempo for the trial.
That has the potential to add drama to the proceedings, along with the prospect of court rulings, new witnesses or evidence that could alter the trajectory of the impeachment process.
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