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Trudeau's High Marks in Canada's Pandemic Recovery Boosts Election Odds
Posted
March 9, 2021
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0:57Now PlayingMore voters trust Justin Trudeau’s party to manage Canada’s finances after the pandemic than any other, a boost of polling confidence that could tempt him to trigger an election.
The governing Liberals earned 33% support in a Nanos Research Group survey for Bloomberg News asking Canadians which party is best suited to manage the public purse. The result gives the prime minister a strong edge over his main rival, Erin O’Toole, whose Conservatives were chosen by 24% of respondents.
“The Conservatives are traditionally strongest on these measures,” pollster Nik Nanos said by email. “In my experience, if the Conservatives are not seen as being better fiscal stewards than the Liberals, a Conservative win is not in the cards.”
Canada’s economy suffered an historic 5.4% contraction last year despite hundreds of billions in debt-financed spending from Trudeau’s government. But a surprisingly strong start to 2021 combined with a string of good news on vaccines leave the Liberals well positioned.
While the prime minister insists he doesn’t want an election, his move to shore up his front bench in January touched off speculation that he’s eager to try to win back the parliamentary majority he lost in 2019. The average lifespan of minority governments in Canada is about two years.
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