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Canada Election: Carney, Poilievre Face Off

Posted

April 28, 2025

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The Conservative Party chipped away at the lead held by Mark Carney’s Liberals in the final days of Canada’s election campaign, though surveys still point to a probable Liberal victory in Monday’s vote.

The Liberals’ estimated popular vote share was 41% in Abacus Data’s final likely-voter election model, released over the weekend, just two points ahead of the Conservatives. The polling company had reported a five-point Liberal advantage on April 21.

The dominant ballot question for much of the 37-day campaign was which candidate will best stand up for Canada against aggressive actions from US President Donald Trump — and voters prefer Carney on that issue, according to multiple surveys.

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Guests & Subjects Covered

Canada ElectionThe Conservative PartyMark Carneys LiberalsThe LiberalsAbacus DatasConservatives TheUS President Donald Trump

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Canada Election: Carney, Poilievre Face Off · Bloomberg News · Sentinel