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Trump, GOP Look to Redraw Texas Congressional Map Ahead of Midterms

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July 21, 2025

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Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, says Texas Republicans are looking to redraw congressional districts to help the party maintain control of the House.

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton threatened to arrest state Democrats who obstruct plans to draw new congressional maps, raising the stakes for a controversial effort backed by President Donald Trump as a way of protecting the slim Republican majority in the US House of Representatives.

Paxton, a firebrand Republican running for the US Senate, warned lawmakers not to leave Texas ahead of a special legislative session next week after national Democratic leaders encouraged state representatives to resist the plan. If enough Democrats flee, the legislature would be short of the minimum number of lawmakers required for a vote — a move that Democrats have unsuccessfully tried in recent years to block legislation.

“If Democrats ignore their duty to their constituents by breaking quorum, they should be found and arrested no matter where they go,” Paxton wrote on X. “My office stands ready to assist local, state, and federal authorities in hunting down and compelling the attendance of anyone who abandons their office and their constituents for cheap political theater.”

Redistricting is emerging as a new tactic for Trump’s plans for Republicans to retain control of the House in the 2026 midterm elections. Trump told reporters this week that he had spoken with Republican lawmakers in Texas, and said redrawing the state’s congressional map in favor of the GOP would add as many as five seats for the party. Texas currently has 38 seats, with Republicans holding 25.

“Texas will be the biggest one,” Trump said, adding that Republicans could make gains in other states as well.

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Guests & Subjects Covered

Kyle KondikSabato's Crystal BallTexas RepublicansPresident Donald TrumpUS HouseRepresentatives PaxtonUS SenateIf Democrats

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