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Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Climb After Weak Jobs Report | Balance of Power

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September 5, 2025

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Disappointing employment data released Friday validated fears that the US labor market may be on the brink of a downturn and lifted expectations for how much the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates this year.

Investors are now fully pricing in a quarter-point rate cut at the Fed’s Sept. 16-17 policy gathering. They also pushed closer to anticipating a total of three rate cuts this year, according to futures contracts. Some Fed watchers said the weak jobs data could spur officials to consider a larger-than-typical half-point this month, though inflation data due next week could temper those expectations.

Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Bloomberg's Kriti Gupta is in for Kailey. Joe and Kriti speak with:

Bloomberg Economics Chief US Economist Anna Wong.

House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jason Smith (R-MO).

Bloomberg Politics Contributors Rick Davis and Jeanne Sheehan Zaino.

Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent Michael McKee and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee.

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Bloomberg Washington Correspondent Joe Mathieu delivers insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy.

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Guests & Subjects Covered

Watch JoeKailey LIVEFederal ReserveFeds SeptSome FedKailey LeinzWhite HouseCapitol Hill

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