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US, Iran Prepare for Talks With Lebanon Conflict Unresolved

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April 9, 2026

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Jennifer Welch, Chief Geoeconomics Analyst for Bloomberg Economics, examines the fragility of the US-Iran ceasefire and its impact on the Strait of Hormuz.

The US and Iran prepared for peace talks in Pakistan at the weekend with a fragile ceasefire largely holding, though pivotal issues such as control over the Strait of Hormuz and Israel’s offensive in Lebanon remain unresolved.

US Vice President JD Vance is expected to lead the American delegation in Islamabad on Saturday, with Iranian officials due to arrive in the Pakistani capital on Thursday. Both sides appear to have paused strikes across the region after President Donald Trump’s announcement of a truce after nearly six weeks of fighting.

The exception is in Lebanon, where Israel’s ongoing campaign against Tehran-aligned Hezbollah risks undermining the negotiations. Israel’s military on Thursday told residents in eight Beirut neighborhoods to leave ahead of strikes, after a major operation that killed more than 200 people the previous day.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Israel’s strikes are a “clear violation” of the ceasefire and “will render negotiations meaningless.”

Vance has said Washington hasn’t suggested that Israel’s operations in Lebanon would cease. “We never made that promise,” he said in Hungary.

Meanwhile, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively shut as shipowners await clarification on the status of the key waterway. Iran’s Ports and Maritime Organization published two safe routes for shipping, according to state media, though traffic remains a fraction of pre-war levels.

Trump vowed to keep troops in the Persian Gulf ahead of the talks in Pakistan, “until such time as the REAL AGREEMENT reached is fully complied with.” He added that the Strait of Hormuz would soon be open and safe to use.

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Guests & Subjects Covered

Bloomberg EconomicsHormuz The USThursday BothPresident Donald TrumpsTehran-aligned HezbollahIranian President Masoud PezeshkianHungary MeanwhileIrans Ports

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