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Wall Street Poised for Bonus Increases in ‘Year of the Bank’ | Bloomberg Intelligence

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May 7, 2026

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Bloomberg Intelligence hosted by Paul Sweeney and Scarlet Fu

-Katherine Doherty, Bloomberg News Finance Reporter, discusses Wall Street bonuses being projected to jump for the third year in a row as market volatility fuels trading demand and dealmaking makes its long-awaited comeback. Incentive pay for investment bankers who advise corporate clients on deals is poised to be up 10% to 20% or more from a year earlier, according to Johnson Associates Inc.

-Michael Halen, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Restaurant and Foodservice Analyst, discusses earnings from McDonald’s and Shake Shack. McDonald’s Corp. is warning that worsening consumer sentiment will dampen second-quarter results due to a run-up in gas prices and comparisons to a successful promotion last year. Shake Shack shares plummeted after the burger chain reported first-quarter revenue that missed expectations due to pressures including rising beef costs and inclement weather.

-Geetha Ranganathan, Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst on US Media, discusses earnings from Warner Bros Discovery and Peloton. Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. reported first-quarter financial results that missed analysts’ expectations as the media giant moves closer to being acquired by rival Paramount Skydance Corp. Peloton Interactive Inc. raised its guidance for the full year, suggesting a turnaround is on track due to new commercial offerings and upgraded equipment.

-Kunjan Sobhani, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Semiconductor Analyst, discusses ARM earnings. Arm Holdings Plc shares declined as much as 9% after a slowdown in the smartphone industry took a toll on the chip company’s royalty revenue. Royalties generated $671 million in revenue last quarter, falling short of an average estimate of $693 million.

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