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Think Tank's Two Scenarios on How a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Might Play Out

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January 21, 2026

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Recent US military action in Venezuela and the escalating push to acquire Greenland have raised urgent questions about the stability of international norms. As global order shifts, concerns are mounting over a potential Chinese move on Taiwan. The German Marshall Fund of the United States has gamed out scenarios for a potential cross-strait conflict, outlining the strategic and economic costs Beijing might face.

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Think Tank's Two Scenarios on How a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Might Play Out · Bloomberg Television · Sentinel