Capturing Christianity
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Why the Puddle Analogy Against God Fails Miserably
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December 12, 2019
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28:21Now PlayingIn this video, I explain why the Puddle Analogy against the Fine-tuning Argument for God fails (on multiple levels).
#1: The likelihood principle says that “if some evidence is more likely on Hypothesis 1 than Hypothesis 2, then that evidence confirms Hypothesis 1 over Hypothesis 2.” Here’s a quick example: suppose you’re playing Poker and the guy to your left has been dealt a Royal Flush the last 5 hands. Being dealt 5 Royal Flushes in a row is likely on the hypothesis that he’s cheating and unlikely on the hypothesis that he’s not cheating. This fact therefore provides evidence that he’s cheating over not cheating. And btw, anybody actually in that situation would (without a doubt) suspect that he’s cheating.
#2See number three at this website
#4(Same link as #3)
#5Universes by John Leslie
----------------------------- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS -----------------------------
Special thanks to the following people for providing insightful feedback and helpful comments to earlier versions of the script: Tomas Bogardus, Josh Rasmussen, Josh Parikh, Luke Barnes, Justin Mooney, Braxton Hunter, Brett Lunn, and Dustin Crummett.
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