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Why Oil Shocks Hit The U.S. Economy Differently Than 20 Years Ago

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March 13, 2026

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The escalating Iran conflict is drawing comparisons to the 2003 Iraq war, when oil prices and gasoline costs surged. Fresh fears of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz are rattling global energy markets and fueling inflation concerns. But key differences, including higher interest rates, rising federal debt and the United States’ role as the world’s largest oil producer, could reshape how this geopolitical shock affects households budgets and investor outlook.

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Produced and shot by: Charlotte Morabito

Edited by:  Andrea Miller

Additional Reporting by: Pippa Stevens, Matt Peterson, Jeff Cox

Animation: Jason Reginato, Emily Park, Christina Locopo

Senior Director of Video: Lindsey Jacobson

Additional Footage: Getty Images

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What The Iraq War Can Tell Us About Oil Risks Now

Guests & Subjects Covered

United StatesChapters Introduction OilCharlotte Morabito EditedAndrea Miller Additional ReportingReality TVAI SignBasics HowUse AI

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