PUTIN's ROOT CAUSES Must be Addressed / Lt Col Daniel Davis & Larry Johnson
May 29, 2025
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14:39Now PlayingPUTIN's ROOT CAUSES Must be Addressed / Lt Col Daniel Davis & Larry Johnson
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Russian Perspective and Strategy
Putin is portrayed as patient and strategic, having learned from past Western deception.
Russia has set clear peace conditions (since June 14, 2024) and hasn't deviated from them.
Russian officials are described as measured but firm. For example, Dmitry Medvedev and others have warned that if Germany fires long-range Taurus missiles (potentially nuclear-capable), Russia might retaliate directly against Germany.
Russia views Western missile escalation as a red line.
Militarily, Russia is advancing quickly, taking several villages a day, and hasn't yet "hit third gear."
2. Western Reactions and Missteps
Western officials, particularly Germany's Friedrich Merz, are accused of acting irrationally and under pressure from financial interests (e.g., BlackRock), which may be losing assets in Ukraine.
There’s skepticism about Merz’s intelligence and motives—he's accused of prioritizing financial interests over diplomacy.
The West is described as panicking and out of touch with battlefield realities.
3. Peace Talks and Diplomacy
Russia and Ukraine are set to exchange memorandums and meet again soon (likely June 2).
Ukraine reportedly gave its memo to the U.S. instead of directly to Russia.
The Russian side plans to present their demands at the meeting, but expectations are that Ukraine will reject them.
Despite this, Putin is keeping diplomatic channels open but won’t stop military actions.
4. U.S. and Trump’s Role
Trump is seen as indecisive; there’s speculation he’ll either escalate support or pull back entirely.
A potential future conversation between Trump and Putin might lead Trump to shift position, especially if he sees similarities between himself and Putin (e.g., being targets of assassination attempts).
Putin is expected to remain calm and factual in dealings with Trump.
5. Military Forecast
Russia is preparing strategic encirclements and appears on track to significantly weaken Ukraine militarily by end of June or July.
The speaker believes Western aid (e.g., ATACMS, Storm Shadow missiles) won’t change the battlefield outcome.
6. Final Thoughts
Putin is seen as pursuing both military and diplomatic tracks simultaneously, aiming to address what he sees as root causes—NATO's expansion and Western interference near Russia’s borders.
He won't settle for symbolic agreements; real security guarantees are a must.
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