Israel Claims Control of Tehran Airspace /Lt Col Daniel Davis

Daniel Davis Deep Dive Merch: Etsy store

Israel claims it now has full air superiority over Iran, asserting it can operate anywhere within Iranian airspace without fear, having allegedly destroyed Iran’s air defenses. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu boasts that Israel is close to victory and achieving all its objectives — a claim eerily similar to what he said before the 2023 Gaza invasion, which has yet to fulfill its stated goals. Despite heavy Israeli operations, Hamas remains at pre-war strength, indicating failure to eliminate it.

Netanyahu has now expanded the war to Iran, justifying the move by claiming Iran posed an imminent existential nuclear threat. But critics, particularly military analyst Daniel Davis, strongly dispute this, calling Netanyahu’s claims exaggerated, unsupported by evidence, and part of a broader pattern of unfulfilled promises. Davis emphasizes that Iran has not restarted a nuclear weapons program since suspending it in 2003, a conclusion supported by U.S. intelligence and confirmed by Tulsi Gabbard in March 2025.

Davis argues that Iran is relatively weak and primarily defensive, while Israel is a regional superpower with nuclear weapons and a history of preemptive and covert strikes. Netanyahu’s justification for the war — that Iran was racing to build a bomb to destroy Israel — is dismissed as “asinine” and fictional by Davis, who warns that this kind of aggression could actually push Iran into pursuing nuclear weapons for real.

If Netanyahu’s gamble doesn’t work — namely, triggering a revolution within Iran — Israel faces the risk of an open-ended, highly destructive war with a much more powerful opponent than Hamas. Meanwhile, Israel is already overstretched militarily and politically, and the U.S. may not sustain its support indefinitely.

Davis concludes that Israel's latest actions increase the likelihood that Iran may leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and eventu