Putin's Military Solution: Novorossiya /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Col Jacques Baud
July 8, 2025
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17:01Now PlayingPutin's Military Solution: Novorossiya /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Col Jacques Baud
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Military Situation & "Novorossiya" (Novaria) Expansion:
Putin referenced “Novaria” (a historical Russian concept, also known as Novorossiya), suggesting a broader territorial ambition beyond the current occupied areas.
Currently, Russia fully controls Luhansk and most of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson.
“Novaria” would also include additional Ukrainian regions: Odesa, Mykolaiv, Dnipro (Dnipropetrovsk), and Kharkiv — all areas with historical Russian ties and current resistance activity against Kyiv.
Putin’s mention implies Russia sees no reason to halt advances since they are winning militarily, and no serious negotiations are on the table.
Trump’s Position on Ukraine:
Trump briefly reversed his stance on halting aid to Ukraine, likely due to political pressure (especially from Europe).
However, this shift is seen as a symbolic gesture. His true aim appears to be a ceasefire ("silencing the guns") rather than a lasting peace.
Russia wants a “sustainable peace” with concrete conditions, while Ukraine (with European backing) seeks peace without concessions to Russia.
Trump’s middle-ground approach is unlikely to satisfy either side.
Sanctions & the BRICS Bloc:
Trump floated new sanctions, but their effectiveness is questionable in the current global context.
Russian FM Lavrov at the BRICS summit argued that:
Western sanctions and U.S. dollar weaponization have backfired.
The BRICS+ nations (now ~20 countries) represent 44% of global GDP and are building an alternative economic system.
BRICS is forming a counterbalance to Western dominance, aiming for fairer, multipolar trade mechanisms.
Putin acknowledged that Western sanctions are permanent and systemic, so Russia has adapted to live with them.
Overall Takeaway:
Russia is militarily advancing and politically confident, expecting no sanctions relief.
Trump seeks an exit strategy from Ukraine that avoids a Biden-style Afghanistan withdrawal.
Meanwhile, BRICS is strengthening its economic independence, diminishing the impact of Western sanctions over time.
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