BREAKING: Israel Attacks HAMAS Leadership in Qatar's Doha /Lt Col Daniel Davis

Daniel Davis Deep Dive Merch: Etsy store

The discussion emphasizes that early hopes in Moscow for a negotiated settlement with Trump have faded. Russia doubts U.S. credibility because Trump’s positions shift constantly, making any deal uncertain. This leads Moscow to favor battlefield outcomes over fragile diplomacy.

More broadly, Washington’s disregard for the “rules-based order” has eroded its credibility worldwide. U.S. actions—such as empowering Israel and striking Venezuela—reinforce perceptions that America ignores international law while demanding others obey it. This fuels the appeal of China’s multipolar model, which promises stability through basic operating principles rather than hegemonic control.

In the Middle East, U.S. unwillingness to restrain Israel raises risks of regional backlash. Key signs to watch include whether states pull back from the Abraham Accords or move closer to Iran, signaling a reorientation away from Washington.

On Iran specifically, U.S. and Israeli strikes have destroyed trust, making future nuclear talks unlikely unless Washington can provide credible security guarantees—something harder now than before. Another Israel-Iran conflict is seen as likely, and while U.S. involvement would look different given depleted munitions, Washington would almost certainly support Israel militarily.

Overall, U.S. policy is marked by a desire to keep the privileges of global hegemony without the responsibilities, creating instability and accelerating shifts in the balance of power.