"Elite" Thinking on Iran War Could Cripple America /Lt Col Daniel Davis

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Danny argues that plans to escort oil tankers through the Persian Gulf are dangerously unrealistic and poorly thought out. They say proponents ignore the high risk from Iranian missiles, drones, mines, and other threats, and fail to explain how these dangers would be neutralized or why repeated attempts would succeed if early ones fail. This, they argue, would unnecessarily endanger U.S. service members for unclear strategic gain.

They also reject comparisons to the 2003 Iraq War “Thunder Run,” saying the situations are completely different—those operations faced far weaker, demoralized opposition and still nearly failed, whereas Iran has far greater capabilities and reach.

On assassination strategies, the speaker criticizes the idea that killing leaders will break Iran’s will, calling it both immoral and ineffective. They argue history shows such tactics harden resolve rather than cause collapse, and warn it could provoke retaliation and escalate conflict.

More broadly, the speaker expresses concern about a growing mindset among leaders that treats war and killing too casually. They emphasize that war should be a last resort, not a preferred policy tool, and warn that this attitude could lead to larger, more dangerous conflicts in the future.