Spain
May 16, 2020
188,545
5,981
2,291
4.39%
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Dr John Campbell Episodes Around May 16, 2020
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35:27Now PlayingSpain
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as posted by the channelCOVID – 19, Saturday 16th May
Thailand
No new cases or deaths reported
Malls reopening
No international flights
India
Millions of people stranded
Hundreds of thousands walking home
Bangladesh
Coxes Bazar, first confirmed case in the refugee camps
Arizona
Lifting some restrictions
A green light to precede, not to speed
80% think it is too soon
NSW
Restaurants reopening
Iran
Clusters occurring new regions
UK
IOW, more than half downloaded the app
No evidence for vitamin D in COVID-19
Italy
Borders reopening from next month
Spain
Blood samples from nearly 70,000
Prevalence study (Carlos III public health institute)
5% of Spaniards have been infected
Soria province, 14.2% had antibodies
Madrid region, 11.3%
Murcia, Asturias, the Canary Islands, under 2%
Numbers all for IgG antibodies
IgG take longer to seroconvert
Indicate absence of active infection
Also tested for IgM, made days after the onset of symptoms
Herd immunity needs 70% and may cost 277,240 lives
CFR, proportion of deaths compared to the total number of people diagnosed
IFR is the ratio of deaths to the actual number of infections
University of Oxford, CFR globally = 0.51%
CEBM estimates the IFR at 0.1% to 0.26%
Numbers of undiagnosed cases
Official figures for Spain = 228,691
Actual infection rate in Spain = 2,350,000
90 % of infections have been undetected
Comparisons from other antibody studies
Geneva, 9.7% of the population was infected, 0.5% of these died.
Heinsberg (Germany), infection rate 14%, fatality rate was 0.4%
New York City, 21% tested positive for antibodies, fatality rate of 1.1%
UK, 6.5 million overall in England (0.5%)
Infection rate in children
Study shows lower prevalence figures among children
Less than 1 year = 1.1%
1 – 4 years = 2.2%, and for those between five and nine, it was 3%
5 – 9 years = 3%
No significant gender difference in infection rates
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