Dr John Campbell
@campbellteaching·3.3M subscribers·3.1K videos
Global Weekend Update
Posted
June 14, 2020
Views
146,296
Likes
4,872
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1,391
Engagement
4.28%
June 14, 2020
146,296
4,872
1,391
4.28%
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39:55Now PlayingCase Fatality Rate (CFR)
Infection Fatality Rate (IFR)
Predicted COVID-19 Fatality Rates Based on Age, Sex, Comorbidities, and Health System Capacity (Centre for Global Development)
Fatality rate from COVID-19 varies greatly across countries
Infection fatality rate (IFR)is difficult to quantify in many low- and middle-income countries
Non- random testing
Incomplete vital registration systems
Estimate the adjustments to extrapolate estimates IFR from high- to lower-income regions
Accounting for differences in;
Age
Sex
Relevant comorbidities
These are grounded in fatality rates from countries with advanced health systems
This adjustment reduces the demography-based advantage
Region Unadjusted Adjusted
Sub- Saharan
Africa 0.11 0.43
1 billion
Latin
America 0.39 0.95
430m
Eastern
Europe 0.68 1.83
209m
The Lancet, Global Health
)302291/fulltext
Early estimates of the indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on maternal and child mortality in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study
Indirect effects
Reallocation of healthcare re- sources in the developing world
Could contribute indirectly to over one million additional child deaths
56 700 additional maternal deaths
Verses an unmitigated pandemic
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