Pandemic in Europe and UK

UK

Cases, + 13, 972 + 17,234 = 634,920

England, + 14,310

Scotland + 1,297

Wales, + 764

NI + 863

Recent increase in older people

Deaths, + 143 = 43,018

ONS figure, 58,500 deaths

Highest since 165 deaths on 10th June

Tracker app

Cases, + 24,611

Active, 352, 880

1st April, 2 million

Graham Medley, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

400 deaths a day by the start of November

The people who died today were infected two to three weeks ago

people who will die in two to three weeks’ time are among those infected today

doubling time of infections has been about 10 days for the past month

David J Hunter, Oxford University

a steady, inexorable rise in hospitalisations

ICU Covid bed occupancy

and deaths over the last month and leave no doubt the second wave is well advanced

Dr David Strain, University of Exeter

Infections were, first in younger adults, moving into older adults three weeks or so ago

this week is when we would have anticipated the rise in death rates to start occurring

The idea that you can mix freely with five other households is nonsense, basically

ONS

Cases, 25 September to 1 October 2020

224,400 people, community population, England

One in 240 people

17,200 new cases per day

Number of infections has increased rapidly in recent weeks

Older teenagers and young adults

Highest rates seen in the North East, North West, Yorkshire, Humber

Wales, 6,100 people

1 in 500 people

Northern Ireland

1 in 500 people (95 % credible interval: 1 in 1,900 to 1 in 200).

Deaths, 25 September to 1 October 2020

4.1% (390 deaths) above the five-year average

321 mentioned “novel coronavirus (COVID-19)”

3.2% of all deaths in England and Wales

Previous week, 215 (2.2%)

Wales, 12 deaths (Week 39) to 25 deaths (Week 40)

UK as a whole

Week 39, 234 COVID deaths

Week 40, 343 COVID deaths

Operation moon-shot

would allow people to lead more normal lives, without the need for social distancing

Six weeks in

Pilot to regularly test 254,000 people, paused last week, largely scaled back

Salford in Greater Manchester

Regular saliva tests

About an hour

Now be smaller in scale and focused on high-risk environments and groups

250 provided regular saliva samples

Lack of clarity as to accuracy of saliva-based tests

Three levels of COVID alert

Medium, high and very high

Medium level/tier one

Rule of six

Closure of venues at 10pm

Food and drink selling venues, closed between 10pm and 5am

After 10pm food, delivery service, click-and-collect or drive-thru

All businesses and venues can continue to operate

In a Covid-secure manner

Nightclubs and adult entertainment venues remain closed

Schools, universities

Weddings and funerals can go ahead, restrictions on the number of attendees

High level/tier two

Additional measures are in place:

People must not meet with anybody outside their household or support bubble in any indoor setting

People should aim to reduce the number of journeys they make

Walk or cycle where possible

Avoid busy times and routes on public transport

Very high level/tier three

Additional measures are in place:

Pubs and bars must close

Unless serving substantial meals

May only serve alcohol as part of such a meal

Wedding receptions are not allowed

Avoid travelling in or out

Avoid in or out overnights

Other than for work, education, accessing youth services, caring

transittps://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/13/operation-moonshot-doubts-over-uk-covid-saliva-tests-plan

Liverpool

Manchester, Lancashire

Hospitalisations