Pandemic second wave
October 29, 2020
127,798
4,431
1,258
4.45%
Search the Record
IndexedEvery word spoken in this episode is indexed. Type any phrase to jump straight to the moment it was said.
Type any word or phrase that may have been spoken. Click a result to seek the player to that exact moment.
Try a name, a topic, or a quoted line
Dr John Campbell Episodes Around October 29, 2020
See what was published immediately before and after this episode.
24:23Now PlayingPandemic second wave
Segments
YouTube Description
as posted by the channelDiffering methods of data gathering reveal vastly different infection rates in the UK, what is the evidence from both methods and what is the reality? This video argues for the accuracy of the data from the covid symptom tracker app as it is more consistent with the Office for National Statistics Data.
Germany
Merkel, long, hard winter
Monday, closure of restaurants, bars, gyms and theatres
France
Macron, country risked overwhelmed by a second wave that no doubt will be harder than the first
Lock down from Friday
Spain
Six-month extension of the state of emergency
9th May 2021
Regional powers to limit mobility, impose curfews, shut borders with other regions
Catalan region, 15-day ban on entering or leaving
UK, Tier 2 from Saturday:
East Riding of Yorkshire,
Kingston-Upon-Hull,
North East Lincolnshire
North Lincolnshire; Dudley
Staffordshire
Telford and the Wrekin
Amber Valley
Bolsover
Derbyshire Dales
Derby City
South Derbyshire
The whole of High Peak
Charnwood
Luton
Oxford City
Real-time assessment of community transmission
Infections rising rapidly in England
Swab tests, n = 85,971, England
Imperial College London and Ipsos MORI
Round 2, 16th to 25th October, prevalence, 1.28% of population infected
Out of self-administered 85,971 swabs, 863 were positive
Estimated 128 people per 10,000
Corresponds to 96,000 new infections each day
Round 1, 18th September to 5th October, it was 60 per 100,000
Infections increased
All age groups
Prevalence, areas of the country
The Humber, 2.7%, 1 in 40, (up from 0.84%)
North West, 2.3%
North East, 1.2%
West Midlands, 1.6%
East Midlands, 1.2%
South East, 0.55%
East of England, 0.64%
South West, 0.72%
London, 0.89%
Age and prevalence
Aged 18-24, 2.2%
Steepest rise, aged 55-64, x 3, 0.37% up to 1.2%
Over 65s, 0.81% x 2, 0.35% up to 0.81
Prevalence also doubled in primary and secondary school children
Reproduction number (R) = 1.56 (on an upward trend)
Giving a doubling time of doubling every 9 days
Previously, 29 days
Prevalence remained highest in 18 to 24-year olds at 2.25% (1.47%, 3.42%).
Official testing based new cases
Cases, + 24,701 + 23,065
Symptom tracker app
Cases, + 43, 596
Active, 556, 901
However,
Kings College / Zoe
R about 1.1
Doubling every 28 days
Increasing national rates that are steady
Not out of control as you might have heard from some other sources
Look at all the date, not one survey
More than a million reports per day
Swab test when sick
About 8% positive
Similar to ONS survey
The largest current data source
North of England, some suggestions the rates are coming down, but still higher than the South of England
Scotland and Wales somewhere in between
Mainly in young people
Large number of cases
Nor seeing overall excess deaths
COVID is the 15th cause of death nationally
40,000 people die in any Normal November
Risks for most people are still low
COVID Dogs
Medical detection dogs
Duchess of Cornwall trains up Matt Hancock
Paddington Station
Heathrow
Diagnosis time 0.5 second
Australia
Hospitalised, 5 (0)
If you would like to donate to John's educational projects, please use the following link, thank you,
Guests & Subjects Covered
Sentinel Indexing in Progress
Metadata and chapters are available. Claim extraction for this episode is pending.
All video content is delivered via YouTube embedded players in accordance with the YouTube Terms of Service. Sentinel provides research tools that promote discovery and accountability across political media.