UK Pandemic Update
October 31, 2020
99,347
3,411
2,128
5.58%
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Dr John Campbell Episodes Around October 31, 2020
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29:02Now PlayingUK Pandemic Update
YouTube Description
as posted by the channelUK
‘Leaked’ SAGE worst case, UK, 85,000 deaths over the winter
mid-October, there were between 43,000 and 74,000 new infections per day
Consensus statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE). (14th October)
R = 1.3 and 1.5
In England, we are breaching the number of infections and hospital admissions in the Reasonable Worst Case planning scenario
and is almost certain to exceed this within the next two weeks
UK
Tier 4 restrictions
ONS (30th October)
Infection survey, 17 to 23 October 2020
UK number of infections continues to increase
England
Prevalence, 568,100
About 1 in 100 people
9.52 new COVID-19 infections for every 10,000 people
Increases in all age groups over the past two weeks
Older teenagers and young adults, highest current rates
Rates appear to be steeply increasing secondary school age
North West, Yorkshire, Humber
North East, levelled off now
51,900 new cases per day
Wales
Prevalence, 26,100
One in 120 people
Northern Ireland
Prevalence, 24,300
One in 150
Scotland
Prevalence, 37,400
Positivity rate 0.71%
One in 140 people
UK total prevalence, 655,900
Deaths, 9 – 16 October (week 42) England and Wales
Deaths registered was 10,534
Up 580 from week 41
6.8% (669 deaths higher) than five-year average
The number would have to get to 1,200 deaths above the norm to be classified as "excess" above random expected variations
670 certificates mentioned coronavirus representing 6.4% of all deaths
An increase of 232 deaths compared with Week 41, (438 deaths or 4.4% of all deaths)
The numbers of deaths in hospitals remained below the five-year average
Deaths involving COVID-19 in hospitals, 8.4% of all hospitalised deaths
Patients currently hospitalised with COVID
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