Monday Pandemic Update, 2 sides of the pond
December 7, 2020
124,291
4,495
2,049
5.27%
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Dr John Campbell Episodes Around December 7, 2020
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28:05Now PlayingMonday Pandemic Update, 2 sides of the pond
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as posted by the channelAustralia
Cases, + 9 + 7 = 27,972
NSW, + 5 + 4
QLD, + 2 + 3
WA, + 2 + 0
Deaths, 908
Hospitalisations
NSW, 5 (0)
NT, 13 (0)
QLD, 11 (0)
ACT, SA, TAS, VIC, WA
United States
Cases, + 211,073 = 14,534,035
Cases up 10% in past week
Current hospitalizations, 101,487 (20,145)
Ventilated, 7,094
Deaths, + 2,762 + 2,861 + 2,439 + 2, 310 = 280,135
CDC trends
Official US hospitalizations
California
Stay at home orders, 30 million people
Titrated against intensive care unit capacity
University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics
COVID-19 Results Briefing: the United States of America
December 4, 2020
Cases and deaths continue to increase steadily
Reference scenario, expected scale-up of vaccination
Cumulative deaths by April 1, 539,000
Peak daily deaths, 3,000 in mid-to-late January
Vaccination is likely to speed the transition back to normal later in the year
but will prevent only 9,000 deaths by April 1
A further 14,000 lives can be saved with more rapid vaccine scale-up targeting high-risk individuals
Death rate could be higher, State governors implementing packages of mandates as hospital stress becomes high
Scaling up mask use to 95% can save 66,000 lives by April 1
Current situation
Last week, cases + 165,200 per day
Week before, + 145,900 per day
Last week, deaths + 1,660 per day
Week before, deaths + 1,470
COVID-19 the number 1 cause of death in the United States of America this week
Effective R, greater than 1 in 43 states
We estimated that 15% of people in the US have been infected as of November 30
White House’s coronavirus task force to governors, Sunday
The covid risk to all Americans is at a historic high
We are in a very dangerous place due to the current, extremely high covid baseline
and limited hospital capacity.
Brazil
Population 210 million
GDP per capita in Brazil, $8,919 in 2018
(India's at $2,009 GDP per capita)
People unable to get help in the medical system
Being found dead at home
Hundreds can’t get into intensive care beds
Hospital officials warning of supply shortages
Imminent collapse in medical services
Private heath-care system, 98 percent capacity for ITU
Suzana Lobo, Brazilian Association of Intensive Medicine
Fear — has dulled
Many people either simply don’t care or no longer believe in the dangers posed by the virus
We’re facing a campaign of disinformation and denial
The impact in January will be very, very large
Our fear is that in January and February, the health system won’t be able to bear it
WHO
Jun.08 -- Maria Van Kerkhove, head of the World Health Organization’s emerging diseases and zoonosis unit
Transmission of the coronavirus by people who aren’t showing symptoms is "very rare.”
It is rare for a asymptomatic person to transmit on to a second individual
We need to follow the symptomatic cases
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