Dr John Campbell
Dr John Campbell
@campbellteaching·3.3M subscribers·3.1K videos

UK cases level, India increases

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March 26, 2021

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as posted by the channel

Friday 26th March

UK

Past 7 days

Cases, +38,424 (down 2%)

Deaths, +520 (down 31.4%)

Admissions, +2,918 (down 19.8%)

In hospital = 5,544 (20th March)

Bed occupancy down from 50% to under 5%

First dose: 28,991,188

Second dose: 2,775,481

CoViD tracker app

Flattening of new cases, 10 days

R = around 1

One in 920 people have symptoms

Reasons for flattening

False positive, 1,000 cases

Under the age of 50

Under the age of 19

As predicted due to vaccinations

Reinfections, 352 cases from the app

However overall immunity working well

Half population vaccinated, 2nd to Israel

74% protection after first 30 days

Zero protection for 12 days

Risk of new variants minor after vaccination

What to do?

Greater awareness of symptoms

Testing everyone with symptoms

Do a better job in isolating people

Full vaccinations, getting back to normal

Confident we will be through this soon

Regional differences emerging

Wales and Scotland higher (schools returned earlier)

West Midlands turn upwards

SE and London cases going down

US

200 million in 100 days

That’s by 30th April

Averaging 2.5 million doses a day over last week

1.9 million per day needed

EU conference yesterday

No export ban

Dr. Von der Leyen

I think it is clear that first of all the company has to catch up

has to honour the contract it has with European member states before it can engage again in exporting vaccines

India

Population

1,390,108,411 (UN, 2020)

Cases, + 53,476

Highest figure since October

Higher proportion of cases seem to be asymptomatic

Deaths, + 250

Factors

Changes in behaviour

Waning immunity among those previously infected

Mumbai, 90% of new cases not in the slums

Massive internal movements and commuting

New variants

Elections and festivals soon, Kumbh Mela

Vaccination

Up to about 50 million

All Indians 45 and older, eligible for vaccines starting April 1

Oxford AZ

Bharat Biotech’s Covaxin

Inactivated vaccines

n = 25,800

81% interim efficacy

Punjab

February to early March, 80% of cases UK variant

South Africa and Brazil present at lower levels

India variant, mostly Maharashtra

2 mutations that confer immune escape and increased infectivity

E484Q and L452R mutations

Found in about 15-20% of samples

Do not match any previously catalogued VOCs

Kerala, N440K, associated with immune escape

Guests & Subjects Covered

March UK PastMarch BedWest MidlandsApril AveragingDr VonLeyen IIndia PopulationOctober Higher

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