UK, Decline and Fall
July 26, 2021
230,163
7,616
4,494
5.26%
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Dr John Campbell Episodes Around July 26, 2021
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37:48Now PlayingUK, Decline and Fall
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as posted by the channelUK, Cases down for last 7 days
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Monday, 26th, + 24,950
Sunday, 25th + 29,173
Saturday, 24th, + 31,795
Friday, 23rd, + 36,389
Thursday, 22nd + 39,906
Wednesday, 21st, + 44,104
Tuesday, 20th, + 46,558
Saturday, 17th + 54,674 (peak)
First sustained drop not coincided with a national lockdown
Prof Paul Hunter, University of East Anglia
The data at present is looking good for at least the summer
Today's figures do not of course include any impact of last Monday's end of restrictions.
It will not be until about next Friday before the data includes the impact of this change
(Netherlands and Spain, reopening of nightclubs followed by a sharp rise in infections)
Causes of decline
Football related in Scotland
Good weather
Schools summer holidays
92% of adults in the UK have antibodies
UK, 8 million adults with no vaccination
Most children under 18
Risk of immune escape
Dr Aris Katzourakis, Viral Evolution, University of Oxford
We are probably at the evolutionary high point, at the worst combination for an escape to happen in the UK
The UK is in a prone position, whether it will happen we don't know, but it's more likely to happen here, now, than ever before
Numbers game, large scale immunity reduces viral numbers
One in 80 infected
Escape mutations would be immensely beneficial to the virus
If we compromise the incredible vaccines we have now I don't even want to contemplate what that world would look like
Delta variant, is better at causing reinfection as well as evading vaccine immunity
Beta is worst so far, but vaccines are still protecting against most hospitalisations
Viruses don't tend to be perfect at everything
US
Vaccine uptake
Dr Anthony Fauci
US heading in the wrong direction
a pandemic among the unvaccinated
Delta variant driving spike in low vaccination areas
Considering revising mask guidance for vaccinated
Considering offering booster jabs to vulnerable people
Gain-of-function research
Developing viruses that are potentially more transmissible and dangerous
To gain understanding of viral evolution
Develop better treatments and vaccines
Dr Fauci
Director of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)
Part of the US government's National Institutes of Health (NIH)
Which did give money to US-based EcoHealth Alliance
That collaborated with the Wuhan Institute of Virology
Research on possible coronaviruses from bats
2014, pulled in 2020
Dr Fauci
National Institutes of Health (NIH) has not ever and does not now fund gain-of-function research in the Wuhan Institute of Virology
Senator Rand Paul
Asked Dr Fauci this week if he wanted to retract that statement
As you are aware it is a crime to lie to Congress
Richard Ebright, Rutgers University
Research showed that new viruses were created
risked creating new potential pathogens
The research in both papers was gain-of-function research
Dr Fauci
Research in question has been evaluated multiple times by qualified people to not fall under the gain-of-function definition
molecularly impossible for these viruses to have resulted in the coronavirus
Dr Ralph Baric, University of North Carolina
Work they did was reviewed by NIH and university's own biosafety committee
for potential of gain-of-function research and were deemed not to be gain-of-function
We never introduced mutations into spike to enhance growth in human cells
Rebecca Moritz, Colorado State University
There is not always consensus [on gain-of-function research] even amongst experts, and institutions interpret and apply policy differently
Guests & Subjects Covered
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