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The Taiwan scenario that could outfox the US | DW News

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April 7, 2026

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You've heard about the risks of a Chinese invasion or blockade of Taiwan. But another, gray-zone scenario is getting increasingly serious attention from experts and governments: Beijing imposing a "quarantine" on Taiwan. This could enable China to demonstrate control over Taiwan while presenting its actions to the world as wholly unthreatening. In this special interview, DW's Richard Walker breaks down this scenario with Rush Doshi, China specialist in the National Security Council in the Biden administration. What would be the purpose of such a move? What could China gain and what risks would it face? And how would the U.S. and other countries deal with the huge dilemmas such a scenario would present?

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Taiwan ButTaiwan ThisDW's Richard WalkerRush Doshi ChinaNational Security CouncilChapters TheGoals ResponseDeterrence For

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