Farron Cousins
Farron Cousins
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More Republicans Have Died From COVID And That Could Hurt GOP's Midterm Plans

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April 1, 2022

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It is time to address the elephant in the room: New reports show unequivocally that more Republicans have died of COVID than Democrats - with potentially hundreds of thousands of deaths for Republicans. There's absolutely no way that this isn't going to impact the midterm elections, but pollsters swear that their current projections are accurate. But Farron Cousins explains how that isn't possible given the fact that you can't count population declines that haven't been reported.

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*This transcript was auto-generated. Please excuse any typos.

So there's been lots of polling data recently that shows that yes, Republicans are poised to win back the house of representatives in the 2022 midterms later this year. But there is something that these pollsters based on their own admission are not actually taking into account as it's stand, as it stands right now, more Republicans across the country have died of COVID 19 than Democrats have. In fact, that number, the disparity between the two is at least 70,000 more Republicans have died from COVID than Democrats have. Other estimates say it could be as many as hundreds of thousands of Republicans dead versus the number of Democrats dead. That, that, that's a pretty massive amount of people that have died first and foremost. But that is a number that, again, according to these pollsters own estimates, they're not taking into consideration when they do these polls. And here's what I mean, there was a great new report that came out, talking about the fact that pollsters are standing by all the polls that have come out about the midterms. They say, no, no, no, our data's accurate. We're basing it off of the census populations.

Y'all know when the census was taken, right? Yeah. 2020, you're doing polls in 2022, based on two year old data, after almost a million people in the country died. Do you see why you see why you're estimates suddenly don't make any sense and your explanation as to why they do make sense actually makes even less sense. You are not taking into account. The number of people who have died. And again, like I say, this is the elephant in the room that we're gonna have to start talking about. How do all of these deaths factor into results of the 2022 midterms?

Let me give you an example of what I mean when I say that these could absolutely change the outcomes that we see in November in the 2018 Florida gubernatorial election, Ron DeSantis, beat, uh, Democrat, Andrew Gillum, 34,000 votes, 34,000 votes. It was actually the closest margin of any gubernatorial race in 20 18, 30 4,000 votes. You know how many COVID deaths we've had here in Florida? So far over 73,000, do you know who was mostly affected by those deaths who most of the deaths were Republicans. They came from the Republican areas of the state, mostly. So if we base this on current numbers, then that would mean enough Republicans would have died in the state of Florida to make it to where if the turnout is the same as 2018, Ron DeSantis can't win.

You see what I mean? When I say that these individuals are currently not factoring in these COVID death and to give you an even better example of why you can't base any polls right now off of the 2020 census numbers. Here it is. Suppose in the census, you have an area, okay? And it is a 60, 40 Republican Democrat split, right? For every six Republicans, there's four Democrats. So out of 10 people, six are Republican. Four are Democrats, suppose the pollsters do their randomization. And they contact the people in this county. They would want to contact six Republicans and four Democrats to get their views on the 2022 midterms. That's how polling works. You know, if you're in an area that's 60, 40, you do. And four, if you do in 10, whatever, you can do the math from there. Um, but if this area saw 10,000 Republicans die, but only 5,000 Democrats die. And they only have a population of 60,000, which I know those numbers would be way smaller than that. You get what I'm saying suddenly you're at about a 50 50 split, but you've over polled Republicans giving them more representation in your polling data because you based it off of 2020 census numbers that are no longer accurate because of the nearly 1 million deaths we've had in America.

I know of these pollsters, right? You wanna give 'em credit, but they don't deserve it. They're literally in this piece, I'm talking about here, here, they are defending their polling. All adults, regardless of voter registration status are interviewed because we utilize recent census data of the 18 year old and no popular for weighing purposes

Guests & Subjects Covered

Republicans There'sBut Farron CousinsTwitter ThisRon DeSantisDemocrat Andrew GillumFlorida SoRepublicans TheyWhen I

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More Republicans Have Died From COVID And That Could Hurt GOP's Midterm Plans · Farron Cousins · Sentinel