STRONG Crop Ratings + Turkey Bans Wheat Imports

Joe's Premium Subscription

Apple Podcasts

Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

🌾📉 Agricultural Market Update: Crop Conditions, Weather Impacts, and Global Trade Movements 📊🌍

Welcome back to our channel where we provide detailed insights into the latest trends and changes in the agricultural sector, including crop conditions, weather forecasts, and global market dynamics.

🌽 US Corn and Soybean Conditions:

US corn conditions have seen a slight decline from last week, now rated at 74% good to excellent, but remain robust compared to historical standards and align with trade expectations. The corn crop is 95% planted nationally. Soybean conditions are notably strong at 72% good to excellent, the highest since 2020, with 87% of the crop planted. These conditions reflect favorable growing circumstances for the major US crops this season.

🌾 Wheat Harvest and Market Impact:

The US winter wheat harvest is progressing ahead of schedule, with 12% completed nationally, doubling the average pace. However, conditions have slightly worsened to 47% good to excellent. Concurrently, spring wheat ratings also dipped to 72% good to excellent. Additionally, global wheat markets reacted to Turkey’s announcement of a temporary import ban, which has pushed wheat futures to their lowest since early May, impacting US and global wheat prices.

🌦️ Weather Forecast Across the Corn Belt:

A light storm system moved across Minnesota this morning, with more rain expected in South Dakota, Minnesota, and Iowa over the next five days. While the near-term forecast suggests wet conditions in these areas, Illinois and eastern regions may remain dry. Temperature forecasts continue to predict above-normal heat, which could affect crop stress and development as the season progresses.

🌎 Global Wheat Dynamics:

Turkey’s recent decision to ban wheat imports until mid-October aims to protect local farmers during the harvest season. This could lead to more Russian wheat entering the global market, heightening competition for US and other wheat exporters. Such geopolitical and trade policies significantly influence global supply chains and market prices.

🇧🇷 Brazil's Corn Harvest:

Brazil is experiencing a record pace in its second corn crop harvest, with favorable yields in Mato Grosso but mixed results in other states due to varied weather conditions. The fast harvest pace and substantial projected total production highlight Brazil's significant role in global corn markets.

🚢 US Agricultural Shipments:

This week's USDA report shows a decline in US corn and soybean shipments, with corn exports down 5.4% from last week but up year-over-year, and soybean shipments significantly lower compared to last week. Wheat shipments also decreased but show a strong increase compared to the same period last year. These figures are crucial for tracking US competitiveness in global agricultural trade.

🔔 Stay Updated:

For ongoing insights into these and other agricultural topics, make sure to subscribe to our channel. We bring you the latest data and expert analysis to help you understand these complex developments.