Grain Markets and Other Stuff
Grain Markets and Other Stuff
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Trump Stokes Iran Fears in Primetime Speech - Crude Surges, Grains Follow

Posted

April 2, 2026

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🚨 MARKETS IN CHAOS: Trump's Iran War Warning Sends Oil Soaring & Stocks Plunging

President Trump dropped a bombshell in a primetime address — warning of intensified strikes on Iran over the next 2-3 weeks. Markets responded instantly: WTI crude surges past $107/barrel (+$7) while stocks sell off hard. We break down exactly what this means for commodities and your portfolio.

📉 GRAIN MARKETS GET WHIPSAWED

Wheat futures took a beating Wednesday — Chicago May26 down ~19¢ to $5.98/bu, KC May26 off ~22¢ to $6.14/bu — as Trump hinted the Middle East conflict could be nearing its end. Meanwhile, western Plains dryness continues to threaten crops even as rain arrives in the southeast. Corn and soybeans also slid on the war-end headlines.

🌽 CHINA MAKES A HISTORIC CORN MOVE

For the first time in over 15 years, COFCO booked Argentine corn — a major signal of shifting global trade flows. China has booked ZERO US corn for the current marketing year. What does this mean for US ag exports going forward?

🇧🇷 BRAZIL BREAKS RECORDS

StoneX raises its Brazil soybean forecast to a record 179.7 MMT, while the USDA sits at 180 MMT. Brazil's corn outlook gets a slight trim to 135.7 MMT. We've got all the charts you need.

⛽ ETHANOL UPDATE

Weekly US ethanol production dipped 3.7% week-over-week to 1.08M bbl/day, but margins across the Corn Belt remain strong at +15¢ to +40¢ — a bright spot in an otherwise turbulent week.

Guests & Subjects Covered

Crude Surges, Grains FollowTrump SpeechStocks Plunging President TrumpChicago MayKC MayMiddle EastZERO USBRAZIL BREAKS RECORDS StoneX

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Trump Stokes Iran Fears in Primetime Speech - Crude Surges, Grains Follow · Grain Markets and Other Stuff · Sentinel