May 19, 2026
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21:06Now PlayingAmerica Lost the Iran War and Nobody's Saying It Out Loud
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Robert Kagan, longtime neocon columnist for The Atlantic and the man Dick Cheney called for encouragement during the Iraq War, wrote a piece called "Checkmate in Iran" — and it lays out something most political commentators are afraid to say out loud. The United States has suffered a strategic defeat in Iran, one that cannot be repaired or reversed.
Iran now controls the Strait of Hormuz. They have access to 30 of their 33 missile launching sites along the Persian Gulf coastline. They have tens of thousands of drones, mobile missile launchers moved inland, and have already struck a Qatari natural gas facility that will take years to repair. The American military umbrella that once protected Gulf State energy infrastructure has been exposed as ineffective.
Hawk walks through Kagan's full argument, including what a post-American world order looks like when China and Russia emerge stronger, when Gulf States and European nations begin normalizing relations with Iran, and when America's weapons stockpiles are critically depleted after six weeks of nonstop bombing with no clear strategic objective from the start.
Fox News analyst and retired Army General Jack Keane says the U.S. is preparing to return to full-scale combat operations. Trump has reportedly asked the intelligence community to assess what it would look like to simply declare victory and leave. The U.S. has also just rejected Iran's latest peace deal. The nuclear question is real. Israel has the Samson Option. Trump is backed into a corner. Neither Trump nor Netanyahu has shown restraint when losing.
#RobertKagan #Kagan #Trump #Netanyahu #Iran #IranWar #StraitOfHormuz #IRGC #JackKeane #Israel #China #XiJinping #Russia #Putin #Taiwan #nuclearwar #SamsonOption #MiddleEast #foreignpolicy #hawk #hawkpodcasts #politics #nationalsecurity #geopolitics #worldwar
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