Hawk Episodes Around June 17, 2026
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9:19Now PlayingIsrael’s Devastating Miscalculation
Jun 17, 2026·18.5K views
June 17, 2026
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9:19Now PlayingIsrael’s Devastating Miscalculation
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The Iran memorandum of understanding was leaked to a Saudi Arabian television network and is set to be signed this Friday. It lifts all sanctions on Iran, unfreezes Iranian funds dating back to 1979, guarantees a $300 billion reconstruction fund, and leaves Iran's nuclear program, enriched uranium, missiles, and drones entirely unaddressed. Israel is not a party to the agreement and was not included in the negotiations.
The MOU gives Israel roughly 65 days before a final settlement is due. Hawk argues there is almost no chance the ceasefire survives that window. The same day the deal's existence was announced, Israel launched a massive wave of airstrikes into southern Lebanon. Israel has not agreed to halt military operations there, and Hawk expects them to spend those 65 days doing everything possible to derail a final agreement.
The deeper question is how badly Netanyahu and Mossad miscalculated when they lobbied Trump into this war in February. Every Gulf state will eventually need to normalize relations with Iran to maintain access through the Strait of Hormuz. Israel is now isolated, the IRGC remains in control of Iran, and American public sympathy has shifted toward Palestinians for the first time in modern history.
Trump, for the first time in decades of U.S. foreign policy, appears willing to simply walk away from Israel. Hawk calls it the only redeeming quality this president has shown.
#Netanyahu #Israel #IranDeal #IranMOU #Trump #Gaza #Lebanon #StraitofHormuz #IRGC #Mossad #AIPAC #Ceasefire #MiddleEast #ForeignPolicy #Hegseth #Rubio #Palestinians #IranWar #Hawk #hawkpodcasts
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