Iran War Update, with John Aravosis

On tonight’s show, I cover:

* 05:24 — Russia is reportedly giving Iran intelligence to help target US forces, and Leavitt says it “does not really matter”

* 06:22 — Trump eases Russia oil sanctions while Moscow is helping Iran

* 06:41 — Bessent says the US may unsanction even more Russian oil

* 08:15 — Ground troop fears grow as Hegseth and Rubio reportedly clash

* 09:03 — Washington Post report: 82nd Airborne training exercise canceled, fueling invasion speculation

* 09:24 — CNN poll: only 12% support sending US ground troops to Iran

* 10:16 — Leavitt’s shifting definition of Trump’s “unconditional surrender” demand

* 11:41 — Trump gives his own different definition of “unconditional surrender”

* 12:16 — Regime change is suddenly back on the table

* 13:09 — Rubio tells Arab foreign ministers the US goal is supposedly not regime change

* 14:00 — The war’s goals keep changing: nukes, missiles, “imminent threat,” Israel, regime change

* 16:20 — New economic numbers: jobs were expected to rise, but the economy lost 92,000 jobs instead

* 17:17 — Stagflation fears: unemployment and inflation rising at the same time

* 20:24 — Why energy prices are rising: the Strait of Hormuz is effectively shut

* 22:13 — About 20% of the world’s oil and major natural gas flows are at risk

* 23:23 — Kuwait begins cutting production because it cannot move enough crude

* 23:31 — US crude jumps above $90 a barrel

* 23:46 — Oil is up 36% for the week

* 23:53 — Qatar warns oil could hit $150 a barrel

* 24:12 — Energy experts warn markets are near a panic moment

* 24:35 — US gas prices jump 11% in five days

* 25:01 — Some experts warn average gas prices could hit $4 soon

* 25:25 — Pentagon says the war could last through September

* 26:13 — Jet fuel spike means airfare is about to get more expensive

* 27:17 — Trump says if prices rise, they rise

* 28:27 — Reports say the administration waited days to start thinking about calming oil markets

* 30:03 — Trump’s Hormuz tanker insurance idea reportedly falls apart

* 31:28 — Trump on possible retaliation at home: “some people will die”

* 33:34 — US military reportedly believes US forces may have hit the girls’ school in Iran, possibly due to an AI targeting error

* 34:08 — Trump starts closing embassies before Americans in the region are fully evacuated

* 35:45 — DOJ reportedly looks at charges against Cuban leaders as Trump again threatens Cuba

* 36:50 — Estimated cost of the Iran war: roughly $200 billion to $400 billion if it runs through September

* 37:34 — War polling is awful for Trump

* 39:10 — Fox poll: Trump approval 32%, disapproval 67%

* 39:51 — Generic ballot: Democrats 48, Republicans 42

Later in the show, I also cover:

* 44:27 — A nightmare United Nations workplace story and toxic-boss tangent

* 51:51 — Viewer Q&A: whether pipelines or alternate routes could bypass the Strait of Hormuz

* 53:12 — Why Turkey is in NATO, and whether that still makes strategic sense

* 55:55 — Cuba’s fuel crisis and what that could mean militarily

* 57:18 — Russia looks overstretched, and what happens if China moves on Taiwan

* 58:07 — Viewer question on China-Iran military ties and whether China is helping Iran directly

* 60:04 — Return to Russia helping Iran target US assets, and Trump’s refusal to seriously confront Moscow

* 61:59 — Brief end-of-show hangout: new mattress, pricing weirdness, and home setup talk

* 66:09 — Daylight saving time, dogs, sleep disruption, and why changing the clocks is stupid

* 67:11 — Sasha update: aging, mobility, and dog-years discussion

* 72:05 — Weekend show plans and war-update schedule