July 6, 2026
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Why would a military struggling to secure its current front lines look to open a new conflict with NATO? The answer lies in the strategy of forced deterrence. As internal stability weakens, a calculated push through the Polish corridor toward the Baltic states is viewed by analysts as an attempt to reset the terms of the war. By dragging Western forces directly into the theater, the leadership aims to leverage its nuclear posture, pressure European capitals to halt aid, and prevent a total domestic collapse.
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