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Trump’s Polling Problem Gets Worse With New Iran Data | Behind The Numbers w/ Rick & Andrew Wilson

Posted

April 17, 2026

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Trump’s numbers aren’t rebounding — and the latest data suggests this may be his ceiling, not his floor.

In today’s episode of Behind the Numbers, we break down new polling showing Trump still stuck in the high 30s, with disapproval holding near 60%. More importantly, there’s little evidence of movement — even amid major foreign policy events.

We also dig into new polling on Iran, where public opinion is fractured but trending negative overall. A plurality of voters oppose U.S. military action, and independents in particular are breaking sharply against Trump’s handling of the situation.

What does it mean when a president can’t gain ground during a major geopolitical moment? And what happens if these numbers harden heading into 2026?

Guests & Subjects Covered

Show OpensPolling OverviewTrump Losing Republican TrustFear PR WarIran StrategyBillion Iran Decision FalloutGlobal Risk StraitHormuz Stakes

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Trump’s Polling Problem Gets Worse With New Iran Data | Behind The Numbers w/ Rick & Andrew Wilson · Lincoln Square · Sentinel