New York Post
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Famed polling expert Nate Silver makes Trump heavy favorite to beat Biden in November
Posted
June 27, 2024
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0:52Now PlayingThere’s a clear front-runner in the 2024 presidential race, according to renowned election analyst and statistical guru Nate Silver.
The data maven unveiled his quadrennial model Wednesday and started off by giving former President Donald Trump a 65.7% chance of victory over President Biden on Nov. 5.
Silver’s current prediction, based on 40,000 simulations run through the model, predicts that Biden, 81, is likely to edge out Trump, 78, in the national popular vote by one-tenth of a percentage point (47.2% to 47.1%).
However, in the all-important Electoral College, Silver’s model has Trump receiving 287 electoral votes — just above the 270 needed to win the White House.
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#donaldtrump #joebiden #poll #natesilver #elections #politics
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