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Trump's immigration crackdown slowing U.S. population growth

Posted

January 10, 2026

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Congressional forecasters say they expect the U-S population to grow by 7 million fewer people over the next decade than they were projecting this time last year — largely due to the Trump administration’s crackdown on illegal immigration.

The Congressional Budget Office projects the U.S. population will grow from 349 million people this year to about 357 million in 2035. That’s substantially slower growth than CBO was projecting a year ago. The biggest factor driving the slowdown is immigration policy.

Women in the U.S. are also having fewer children than they used to. By 2030, forecasters think there will be fewer babies born each year in the U.S. than there are deaths. Without newcomers from other countries, the population would begin to decline at that point.

CBO also says Americans are living longer, so the fastest-growing part of the population will be people over 65.

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The Congressional Budget Office

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Trump's immigration crackdown slowing U.S. population growth · Npr · Sentinel