April 17, 2026
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Jamal and Matthew break down how Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt
work, why the CFTC treats them like event-based futures, and how
prices reflect real-time political sentiment. They compare these
markets to scientific polling: bettors are far from a representative
cross-section of voters.
The conversation walks through the educational upside of watching
contracts move over time, alongside mounting worries about gambling
addiction, insider trading, and bets tied to sensitive national
security decisions.
Trailblaze: The Road to 2028 with Jamal Simmons & Matthew Butler
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