Principles By Ray Dalio
Principles By Ray Dalio
@principlesbyraydalio·3.1M subscribers·621 videos

The Big Cycle

Posted

June 18, 2026

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I believe we are currently on the brink. We are entering a particularly risky period expected between the 2026 midterm election and the 2028 presidential election. At the same time, the monetary situation is becoming increasingly threatening. The U.S. government currently spends $7 trillion while only taking in approximately $5 trillion, resulting in 40% overspending. While the government has a significant amount of debt to finance, the demand for that debt is falling. This decline in demand is driven by standard supply and demand factors, as well as fears from debt holders regarding potential sanctions.

#geopolitics

Guests & Subjects Covered

The US

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