எல்லோரும் பிரதமர்.. பழைய அரசியல்.. இந்தியா கூட்டணி தடுமாற 5 காரணங்கள் | India Alliance | Congress

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எல்லோரும் பிரதமர்.. பழைய அரசியல்.. இந்தியா கூட்டணி தடுமாற 5 காரணங்கள் | Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance | Congress | Rahul Gandhi | 2024 Election

Here are the five reasons why this objective may remain elusive for the Opposition alliance.

Reason 1: India Isn’t Tamil Nadu, Kerala

The stated objective of the Opposition essentially seeks to replicate the electoral contest model prevailing in Tamil Nadu and Kerala on the national level. The two states have a two front-based political system including pre-poll alliances, and the BJP is unsuccessfully trying hard to find a base there as a third front.

However, the Hindutva ideology isn’t on the margins in most other states, unlike in Tamil Nadu and Kerala and BJP has made alliances or ensured neutrality in Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, and Northeast states.

What the INDIA alliance aims to be striving for is creating a seamless front. But the acceptability of ‘front” politics and pre-poll alliances is untested in most states. Even in Tamil Nadu, DMK hasn’t admitted any of its allies like Congress, VCK or Left parties in the state cabinet.

(21), Punjab (13), and Delhi (7) evidently rule out the prospects of one-on-one contests because of the presence of multiple players.

Thus, 191 Lok Sabha seats may witness three-way or even four-way contests in the next general elections. The INDIA Alliance doesn’t include Bahujan Samaj Party (UP), JD(S) (Karnataka), BRS and AIMIM (Telangana), TDP and YSRCP (Andhra Pradesh) or BJD (Odisha).

Seat-sharing for Delhi and Punjab will be tough. If last performance is a criteria, AAP may get to contest from only two Lok Sabha seats in Delhi, while Arvind Kejriwal has said that his party would win all the seven seats from the national capital.

A similar situation prevails in Punjab where AAP routed Congress to form the government in 2022. The Congress in these two places, especially Punjab, cannot afford to give AAP the upper hand.

Reason 5: Elections And Political Careers

The idea that the Opposition alliance can do a one-seat one-candidate contest against the BJP is impractical for yet another reason. History shows that each parliamentary constituency has at least four candidates nursing the turf for years.

Congress, SP, BSP and RLD unitedly contested the 2019 Lok Sabha elections against BJP, but local candidates who found that their prospects suffered because of the alliance worked against the official nominees.

A similar situation is likely to play out in Maharashtra and Bihar where too many formidable local leaders of the MVA alliance may have to sit out. They would be worried that the leader who gets the ticket would become more powerful than them.

Uddhav Sena, Sharad Pawar’s NCP and Congress could go for 16 seats each in the adjustment pact. Bihar may also present a similar situation as JD(U), RJD, Congress, and the Left will have to work out a pact for 40 seats and deny demands for tickets by several of their leaders.

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