The REAL Reason US Troops Are Going Into Iran
March 13, 2026
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24:15Now PlayingThe REAL Reason US Troops Are Going Into Iran
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as posted by the channelWhite House war advisor Robert Pape reveals why President Trump is now trapped in an escalation cycle in Iran with no good way out. Drawing on 20 years of war simulations and three decades advising every White House since 9/11, he explains the three-stage "smart bomb trap" that has historically pulled America into prolonged conflicts, and why he gives a 75% probability that US ground troops will be deployed into Iran.
He breaks down the Hobbesian choice Trump now faces: accept a political loss by pulling back now, or double down and risk becoming the next Lyndon Johnson, whose presidency was destroyed by the Vietnam escalation. He reveals that Iran had offered Trump a deal better than the Obama deal on the Friday before the bombing campaign began, and that Trump chose regime change instead.
He explains why Israel killed the Iranian negotiators while Trump was actively making a deal, why Marco Rubio appeared to accidentally reveal that the US attacked because Israel was about to attack first, and why Iran is now almost certainly racing to build multiple nuclear weapons following the North Korea playbook. He warns that the dispersed enriched material could be hidden in rooms no bigger than a living room, and that the hunt for it is what will pull American soldiers onto Iranian soil.
Discover:
• Why a White House war advisor says Trump is trapped with no golden off-ramp
• The 75% probability prediction for US ground troops in Iran
• Why Iran had a better deal than the Obama deal on the table before the bombing
• How Israel killed the negotiators while Trump was making a deal
• The Vietnam parallel and why this escalation trap has happened before
• Why Iran is likely following the North Korea nuclear playbook right now
• What happens at stage three and why it mirrors Vietnam and Afghanistan
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