France elections 2022: Could Marine Le Pen really win?
April 14, 2022
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4:31Now PlayingFrance elections 2022: Could Marine Le Pen really win?
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as posted by the channelMarine Le Pen, the veteran far-right leader and candidate in the 2022 French presidential election, has come second in the first round of voting. This means she will face incumbent Emmanuel Macron in the run-off.
Could she really win? That’s the question causing jitters in Paris as a new poll this week showed Le Pen within touching distance of the French presidency.
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In this video, the New Statesman's polling expert Ben Walker and Europe Correspondent Ido Vock explain why the left are right to be concerned.
According to the poll Emmanuel Macron, the incumbent, would win by just 52.5 per cent to Le Pen’s 47.5 per cent in the runoff round of voting in the presidential election, due to be held on 24 April. The result would represent a drastic turnaround from the second round in 2017, when Macron was elected with 66 per cent of the vote to Le Pen’s 34 per cent.
One of the most important factors is her ability to appeal to the supporters of the left-winger Jean-Luc Mélenchon. According to the same Elabe poll, while 44 per cent of people who would vote for Mélenchon’s France Unbowed party in the first round would have no preference in a Macron-Le Pen second round, 77 per cent of those who do would choose Le Pen over Macron.
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