Bernie Sanders TAKES LEAD In Iowa & New Hampshire In NEW Poll!
January 6, 2020
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3:41Now PlayingBernie Sanders TAKES LEAD In Iowa & New Hampshire In NEW Poll!
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as posted by the channelBernie Sanders TAKES LEAD In Iowa & New Hampshire In NEW Poll!
#BernieSanders #Bernie2020 #Sanders2020 #Iowa #NewHampshire #DemocraticPrimary
Sanders starts 2020 in strong position in Iowa and New Hampshire — CBS News Battleground Tracker
The New Year opens with Bernie Sanders in his best standing yet against the field in Iowa and New Hampshire. He's in a first-place tie with Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg in Iowa. All three are at 23%, and each would get a similar number of delegates out of the caucuses if they were to take place today, according to the CBS News Battleground Tracker. Sanders also now has a narrow edge in New Hampshire, with a two-point lead over Biden. Meanwhile, Elizabeth Warren has slipped in New Hampshire since November, as liberal voters have moved toward Sanders instead. However, she's still in position to get delegates there.
There's at least one thing keeping this race in flux: If Democrats' New Year's resolution is to beat President Trump, none of the candidates has yet convinced a majority he or she can do it. Apart from recent gains in New Hampshire, Sanders' support is still best characterized by its steadiness and strength compared to other candidates who have seen more volatility. Nearly half (47%) of his New Hampshire voters say they've definitely made up their minds. By comparison, just 15% of Biden's backers in the state describe their choice that way.In New Hampshire, 65% of Sanders' backers call themselves "enthusiastic" about supporting him ahead of all other candidates.
Sanders also leads the field on these two measures in Iowa. Forty-three percent have definitely made up their minds, and 67% feel enthusiastic in a state where enthusiasm can be an important motivator for voters to go out and caucus. Sanders does appear more reliant on first-time caucus goers than the other leading candidates in Iowa, with 36% of his backers saying this would be their first caucus, versus Buttigieg's 25% and Biden's 24%.
But neither Biden's nor Buttigieg's backers are as committed to their first choice as are Sanders' supporters. And past caucus participation is by no means a perfect predictor of future participation from one election cycle to the next.
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