June 16, 2026
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25:30Now PlayingSal Mercogliano dives into the growing confusion surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. While political announcements suggest a breakthrough and an immediate end to the naval blockade, the reality on the water—tracked by AIS data and maritime insurance rates—tells a different story.
In this episode, we break down:
⚓Rhetoric vs. Reality: Why the recent political announcements may be jeopardizing the lives of merchant mariners.
⚓The AIS Data: A deep dive into current traffic patterns, showing who is "running dark" and why the Omani channel is the preferred route for those avoiding the Iranian "toll booth."
⚓The Economic Explosion: Analyzing the hypothetical $412,888 per day tanker rates and what they mean for global energy costs.
⚓War Risk Insurance: How underwriters are reacting to the "fragile stabilization" and what a $5 billion potential loss event looks like for the industry.
⚓The Long-Term Impact: Why the "Great Blue Commons" is under threat and how the cost of geopolitical uncertainty is being added to every barrel of oil.
Contact What's Going on With Shipping via:
Patreon: www.patreon.com/wgowshipping
Twitter: @mercoglianos
Bluesky: @mercoglianos.bsky.social
Facebook: @wgowshipping
Email: mercoglianosal@gmail.com
Marine Traffic
www.marinetraffic.com
QatarEnergy Ready to Restart LNG Output, Reach Current Capacity in One Month, Source Says
Big-name VLCC players flock to Gulf as Strait of Hormuz reopening looms
How strait reopening could impact VLCC rates in Middle East and Atlantic
Hormuz war risk rates yo-yo as underwriters watch politics unfold
Owners and marine insurers face snap judgements over ‘fragile stabilisation’ in Strait of Hormuz
Hormuz reopening to free 300,000 teu but rate impact still hinges on Red Sea return
Maersk Keeps Gulf Restrictions in Place Despite Hormuz Reopening Push
How will the Strait of Hormuz reopening work? Industry awaits missing details
Hormuz threat level stays severe despite peace breakthrough
Europeans Wary of Committing Naval Power to Hormuz Quickly
Hormuz Is Reopening. Shipping’s Old Playbook Isn’t.
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