U.S.-Iran War Upends Middle East Balance of Power

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Mediators from Pakistan and Qatar say the United States and Iran made "encouraging progress" during 18 hours of negotiations in Switzerland, where the two sides agreed to a roadmap toward reaching a final deal within 60 days. The talks took place despite Iran on Saturday announcing it was closing the Strait of Hormuz after Israel killed 83 people in Lebanon on Friday. Israel said it would agree to a new ceasefire in Lebanon but is also refusing to end its occupation of southern Lebanon.

"Iran has, through its throttling of the Strait of Hormuz, enormous leverage to produce pain on not just the United States, but global markets," says award-winning journalist Spencer Ackerman. "We're going to await how the Iranians will ultimately play that card when it comes to Lebanon."

Behrooz Ghamari-Tabrizi, fellow at the Center for Place, Culture and Politics at the CUNY Graduate Center, says that by demanding the ceasefire extend to Lebanon, "the Islamic Republic focused on creating a rift between Israel and the U.S., and I think, possibly, along with the successes in the war front politically, that was one of the most successful projects that they followed."

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