April 24, 2012
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6:18Now PlayingBarry Nalebuff on "Why Not" Thinking
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Game Theorist Barry Nalebuff on open-source idea sharing.
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Barry Nalebuff:
Barry Nalebuff is the Milton Steinbach Professor of Management at the Yale School of Management. Professor Nalebuff has written on a wide variety of subjects ranging from strategy to pricing, bidding to bargaining, and innovation to incentives. He is an expert on game theory and has written extensively on its application for managers. His most recent book, The Art of Strategy, is an update of the best-selling Thinking Strategically, which explains the fundamentals of game theory using real world examples.
Professor Nalebuff's work on strategy focuses on the fundamental duality in business—the conflict between cooperating to create a pie and competing to divide it up—which he presents in Co-opetition. His book, Why Not?, focuses on providing a framework for problem solving and ingenuity. His work on product bundling was featured in the European Union's investigation of the proposed GE-Honeywell merger.
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TRANSCRIPT:
Barry Nalebuff: One of the many people have lots of great ideas and the challenge, there are two problems with a great idea. One is that you’re probably the wrong person to implement it and the other is that you are not done that great idea. And so how can you learn to be better at coming up with ideas? And what can you do with your great ideas if you don’t know what to do with [them]?
One example: I like the idea of colored salt; that way we can do a better job seeing how much salt you put on your food. But if I did that and brought [that] to market, in the end, I think I will be just test marketing for Morton.
And so rather than go and start a business which I think wouldn’t ultimately succeed, but I still think is a great idea, let me put it out there and see what the world will do with it. See if I’m right or if I’m not.
The most powerful idea in the website [www.whynot.net] is [vehicle] brake lights that shine brighter when you slam on the brakes; and so I [think that] is a great idea. But then, other people contributed comments to help appreciate how you can do even better. So I not only have a [brake] light shine brighter, but have it changed from green to red. Put a brake light on the front of the car, because if you are approaching intersection, you want to know is that car slowing down or not.
[Have a rear-facing] horn? So that way if the person hits the horn, the car behind you also knows that there is a challenge, not just the one in front of you.
And my favorite is having a brake light also go on the moment the person takes the foot off the gas, because the foot that’s heading to the brake but basically you can know before it gets to the brake that’s where they are going because they really take the foot off the gas really quickly. And by the way, if you make a mistake and put the brake light on extra times, it doesn’t really matter. And so you may get that brake light going on a tenth of a second quicker and I can prevent an accident.
So, somebody starts off with a really good idea, brake lights that shine brighter when you slam on the brakes, and then by the time it’s going through this community, it’s really been improved. Some people are very much better critiquing and improving ideas, other people are proposing them, and this allows those types of people to find each other.
Often we sort of beat up, put down the iconoclast, the creative type who are coming up always with better solutions. It’s not broke, I’m breaking it, and I’m doing it better. And this is the place where whynot.net they can find each other and discover they are not alone and their ideas really aren’t crazy.
Question: What is your advice to someone starting a new company?
Barry Nalebuff: Your idea better be 10 times better than what’s out there, not 10% better, because you’re going to have, first, problems in terms of capital. You are going have trouble hiring great people when you’re starting out because nobody has ever heard of you. Your cost structure [isn’t] going to work, your distribution system is going to be terrible; so all of those things that can conspire against you.
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