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Covid-19 Death Forecast Drops as Pandemic Indicators Improve
Posted
March 9, 2021
Views
310
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12
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6.13%
March 9, 2021
310
12
7
6.13%
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0:49Now PlayingThe outlook for Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. is expected to drop in the coming weeks to levels not seen since November.
The country is forecast to record 7,166 weekly deaths for the week ending April 3, according to new forecasts from the University of Massachusetts’ Reich Lab Covid-19 Forecast Hub. That’s fewer than a third of the peak reported in January.
Unlike deaths, the weekly cases may rise in the coming weeks. Aggregate forecasts for the week ending March 27 ticked up to 319,703 from 305,450, according to the hub, which synthesizes predictions from more than 50 research groups that use statistical models to forecast Covid cases and deaths.
Falling death rates reflect fewer Covid cases, which have been on the decline since January, and a vaccination campaign that has immunized more than half of the nation’s elderly, who are most likely to die from the disease. Many indicators of the virus, including cases, deaths, hospitalizations and nursing-home resident and staff incidence, have shown signs of improvement in recent days.
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