Cenk Uygur
@TheYoungTurks·6.5M subscribers·72.8K videos
Election Eve Electoral Map Breakdown
Posted
November 8, 2016
Views
412,027
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3,479
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November 8, 2016
412,027
3,479
1,542
1.22%
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6:37Now PlayingHow much of a chance does Donald Trump have? Cenk Uygur, host of The Young Turks, breaks it down. Tell us what you think in the comment section below.
"Nate Silver rose to prominence in 2012 when, as a writer for The New York Times, he correctly predicted the winner of the Presidential election in all 50 states.
Now with the ESPN-owned website FiveThirtyEight, Silver is slightly less certain of the election outcome this year, and slightly less certain than any other major poll aggregator of a Hillary Clinton victory. As of this writing, Silver gives Donald Trump a 35.2% chance of winning the election. The Times, by comparison, has Trump’s win probability at 14%.
And the Huffington Post gives the Republican nominee just a 2% chance of victory — which moved their Washington bureau chief, Ryan Grim, to write a piece criticizing Silver for “putting his thumb on the scales.”
Grim accused Silver of changing poll results to acheive a result beneficial to Trump.
“By monkeying around with the numbers like this, Silver is making a mockery of the very forecasting industry that he popularized,” Grim wrote.”*
Read more here
Hosts: Cenk Uygur
Cast: Cenk Uygur
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Young Turk (n), 1. Young progressive or insurgent member of an institution, movement, or political party. 2. Young person who rebels against authority or societal expectations. (American Heritage Dictionary)
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