Pandemic, International situation

Australia

Masks will be compulsory in shops, all public transport, schools outside classrooms

Private events, limited to 50

Outdoors, limited to 100

Professionally-organised seated events, up to 1,500 indoors and 3,000 outdoors

Victoria, as 10 September 2020

Cases, + 394 (past week

Week before, + 625 cases

Majority recently diagnosed, 20 to 59 years

Hospitalised

169 patients

One week ago it 361 patients

Reopening road map

US

Reduced confidence in CDC, down 16% since April

62% worried a vaccine might be rushed

54% would not get vaccinated if it were approved before Tuesday 3rd November

Dr. Fauci

To Harvard Med School, We need to hunker down and get through this fall and winter

Campus

50,000 students tested positive

Isolation hotel

Dashboards

Hospitalizations

R values by state

India

In my city Indore in India the situation is disastrous, In last 2 weeks I have at least heard from 80-100 known contacts like friends, my cousins and friends of friends being infected with covid. Just today my neighbour who lives just around 4-5 houses away died of covid. Worst situation I have seen till now in my city. Out of these 7 people have died. I think death rate is much higher than official numbers. Please everyone do take care I am also trying to stay home as much as possible.

India

Cases, + 95, 735 + 96,551 = 4.5 million

World’s fastest growth rate

Deaths + 1, 172 + 1,209 = 76,271

+1,000 for past 10 days

Tests, 1 million per day

Spreads to smaller towns and villages

Delhi, Pune, Mumbai and Chennai, worst-hit cities

UK

Covid-19 contact tracing app, 24th September

Pilot, highly effective when used alongside traditional contact tracing to identify contacts of those who have tested positive for coronavirus

Businesses including pubs, restaurants, hairdressers and cinemas, NHS QR code posters visible

Download posters now

NHS Test and Trace (England)

27 August and 02 September

32,359 close contacts with someone who had tested positive

Where communication details were available, 79.4% were reached and asked to self- isolate

Taking into account all contacts identified, 69.2% were reached

PM briefing, 9th September

Hands – Face – Space – test

Universities not to send infected students home

500, 000 per day by end of October

The Rule of Six

Venues to keep contact details for 21 days

Mass testing (Moon Shot)

So far identify people who are positive

Identify negative allowing them to behave in a normal way

New types of scalable tests

Swabs, saliva

90 - 20 minutes

No measures therefore required, all events and venues could be on

Isolated people released

Pilot study, Salford

Indoor and outdoor venues

Test manufacture and distribution

Well rolled out by Christmas

Widespread by Spring 2021

Testing 10 m people a day

Everything would need to come together

SAGE Scientific Advisory Group for Emergences

100 billion cost

Ministers say technology does not yet exist

Test and trace better

False positives

At best 1% would be false positives

66 m population = 660,000 self-isolating per week

False negatives

Plus people with any symptoms still need to self-isolate

False sense of security

Birmingham

Population, 1.14 million

Cases, + 892 (past 7 days)

Previous 7 days, cases + 30

78.2 cases per 100,000

Patrick Valence

200 vaccines

8 in phase 3 trials

Good immune response, in elderly as well as younger people

6 vaccines booked for UK

Different types of vaccines

Manufacturing in UK for some

Next year sometime

500 medicines being looked at globally