Dr John Campbell
@campbellteaching·3.3M subscribers·3.1K videos
The UK experiment
Posted
July 6, 2021
Views
235,030
Likes
8,314
Comments
5,451
Engagement
5.86%
July 6, 2021
235,030
8,314
5,451
5.86%
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17:43Now PlayingUK, 100,000 cases per day possible
Health Secretary Sajid Javid
makes sense to treat people differently
Self-isolation changes in England
Changes to school bubble system
Prime Minister, 19th July is on
(Scotland, 9th August)
19 July, cases at least double
so around 50,000 new cases a day
As we ease and go into the summer we expect case numbers to rise significantly and they could go as high as 100,000
Vaccines and treatments are far better than what we had when this pandemic began
UK was now entering uncharted territory
16th August, close contacts of confirmed cases no longer need to self isolate for 10 days if fully vaccinated or under 18s
Positive tests still must self-isolate
Prof Neil Ferguson, Imperial College
UK potential, 150,000 to 200,000 a day
still cause some pressure to the health system
slight gamble
justifiable
I'm reasonably optimistic
The ratio which we saw in the past between case numbers and deaths has been reduced by more like eight to 10-fold
Worst-case scenario there may need to be a course correction later
UK
Cases, + 24,284 + 27,334
Hospitalisations, + 358 = 1,905
Cases 10 days ago, 18,271
Proportion of cases hospitalised 10 days later = 1.96%
1st January, 2021, Cases, 61,239
10th January, hospitalisations, 3,933
Proportion of cases hospitalised 10 days later = 6.4%
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